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海外市场:美国非农数据爆冷,美日联合干预汇市

11 Aug 2026

美联储再次按兵不动。美国7月非农就业人数意外爆冷减少2.3万人,6月PCE六年来首次环比下降,市场对于美联储加息预期降温。中国7月份CPI和PPI增速放缓。过去两周,中资海外债一级市场新发规模合计约93.60亿美元,较前一周期减少8.98%;二级市场则小幅上涨。

China’s LGFV Debt Resolution and Transformation: Evidence from Key Financial Data

23 Jul 2026

LGFV interest-bearing debt growth slowed down under “resolve existing debt, curb new debt” with financing costs cut to ~4.3% in 2025. Still, LGFV's average leverage increased to 62.5%, while profitability relies on external support and regional divergence will widen.

Announcement: CSPI Ratings' Ratings and Research Included in London-based Market Intelligence Platform 9fin

23 Jul 2026

9fin is a fintech and data analytics platform headquartered in London, UK. Founded in 2016, 9fin's proprietary AI-native market intelligence platform integrates debt market data, analytical tools, and real-time news, covering various debt markets.

Macro and China Offshore Bond Market Outlook: Extended High Interest Rate Cycle, Divergent Issuance Structure

16 Jul 2026

Fed rates are expected to stay restrictive, while RMB strengthens. China offshore bond issuance fell in H1, but Dim Sum increased by +38.4% YoY. H2 issuance will likely concentrate in SOEs/financials with sensitivity to US yields and Middle East geopolitics.

How Much Economic Potential Does Hong Kong Really Have?

10 Jun 2026

HK 2026 Q1 real GDP rose 5.9% YoY, driven by AI-related export demand, cross-border financial activity, infrastructure investment and recovering domestic demand. Fiscal pressures persist but fiscal reserves remain ample, government debt burden low and external position strong, supporting sustainable transformation and growth.

The Strategic Calculus Behind Foreign Issuers’ Rush to Dim Sum Bonds

15 Apr 2026

Foreign issuance reached RMB 76.8bn in Q1 2026, capturing 31% of total issuance in the period. Key drivers include interest rate advantage and balance sheet currency matching, long-term dollar risk mitigation and RMB internationalisation.

China's Economic Growth and Fiscal Policy Optimisation under a Flexible Growth Target

11 Mar 2026

China's 2026 economic growth target is set at 4.5%-5%, reflecting a shift toward flexible management while maintaining stability and supporting structural reforms. The fiscal policy remains proactive, with a projected deficit-to-GDP ratio of 4% and an increase in net general government debt to around 70%, aimed at enhancing internal demand and quality development amidst evolving economic conditions.

Core Drivers of High-Quality Development in China's New Energy Vehicle Sector Under the 2026 Government Work Report

11 Mar 2026

In 2026, China's NEV sector will be driven by policy support, demand stimulation, and technological advancement, with sales projected to exceed 19 million units; however, profit margins may remain pressured due to intensified competition and rising costs.

Mainland “Three Red Lines” Fade, Hong Kong Reviews MPF Backed Home Purchases

04 Feb 2026

Chinese property developers are no longer required to submit “three red lines” metrics, shifting from regulatory constraints to cash-flow pressures. Meanwhile, Hong Kong's housing market is rebounding due to lower interest rates and potential policies allowing MPF funds to be used for down payments, signaling support for boosting market demand.

2026 Outlook for LGFV Offshore Bonds — Weak Issuance, Deepened Restructuring

30 Jan 2026

In 2025, Chinese LGFV overseas bonds experienced a historic negative net financing of -USD1.77 billion, with issuance down 50.3% year-on-year amid stringent policy constraints. While refinancing pressures are expected to ease in 2026, new issuance difficulties will persist, particularly for weak-credit issuers facing tight pricing power.

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